By: Emmanuel. J. Roy
TRUENEWSBLOG – New polls from Político and other news organizations show the national political landscape is shifting toward the Republican Party as voters focus more on economic issues; inflation, the cost of living, the price of gas etc.
Voters have more trust on Republicans to handle economic issues and crime. Abortion is an issue that Democrats Hope would get voters motivated to come out in drove, but so far voters seem to focus more on these economic issues than the right to have an abortion. If the polls are correct, the GOP will take both the Senate and the House of Representatives.
There are two good reasons why the momentum has shifted in favor of the GOP. The first is gas price skyrocketing a few weeks before elections, the second is midterm elections are referendum on the incumbent president in which the party out of power makes substantial gains. So, things seem to be self corrected and becoming more atypical as we move closer to the elections. This also mean that if Republicans gained control of both houses of Congress, nothing will get done for the American people.
Already Republican members of Congress said they will hold hearings on the attorney General search of Mar-A- Lago; they will seek to impeach Homeland Secretary- and they may even try to impeach president Biden.
WHAT HAVE CHANGED
On abortion, ever since the Kansas referendum defeating an abortion ban, Republicans in tough races have abandoned or downplayed hardline stances and refocused attention on attacking their Democratic opponents as extreme. Neutralizing abortion has allowed many Republicans to raise the salience of crime and immigration.
We saw this dynamic play out repeatedly in the big Senate and gubernatorial debates this week in Georgia, Ohio, Florida, and elsewhere. The White House has noticed how the Dobbs effect has faded. On Tuesday, JOE BIDEN announced that his first bill to Congress next year would be one codifying Roe.
On the economy, recent data have continued to show that the Fed and the Biden administration have been unsuccessful in taming inflation, while their policy moves have stoked fears of an impending recession. And while gas prices, a daily real-world guage of inflation for many voters, have fallen modestly in recent days, they remain up since mid-September .
Biden’s approval rating has been in near-perfect inverse sync with fluctuations in gas prices. (There’s a minus-0.80 correlation coefficient, according to the Washington Post’s Philip Bump .)